Big cuts to state services likely in the next six years
The Co-Chairs of the Legislature’s budget writing committee are asking all state agencies to provide a 5 percent reduction list by November 3rd. They are also asking for a list of any programs that were established or expanded since 2021. These lists will help the legislature determine how best to cut nearly $915 million from the recently adopted 2025-27 biennial state budget. This is roughly 2 percent of the state’s General Fund budget.
The cuts are a result of the tax cuts made in H.R. 1, when passed by the U.S. Congress this summer. Because Oregon’s tax code is tied to the federal tax code, any cuts made at the federal level will reduce the taxable income for state taxes. Historically, the Oregon Legislature has disconnected the state tax code from the federal tax code on a rolling basis. The Legislature will need to pass legislation in order for this to happen. So far, there has been no indication that the Legislature will convene a special session before the February 2026 legislative session.
The state will experience further federal cuts in Medicaid and SNAP in the next three biennia ranging from roughly $1 billion to $8.1 billion. The Legislature will consider a combination of actions that may include making cuts, accessing rainy funds, using ending fund balances, or raising revenue. |